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THE TRUNK/BRANCHES/COGNITIVE/PREDICTIVE/B3-C

The Predictive Brain

The Core Inquiry

Do we perceive the world as it is, or as we expect it to be?

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Scope of Investigation

This node explores the predictive processing framework of Karl Friston and Andy Clark, analyzing the brain as a prediction engine that constructs experience through top-down expectations.

01

Controlled Hallucination

Perception is not a passive reading of sensory inputs. Instead, the brain generates top-down expectations (predictions) and only registers the sensory errors (prediction errors). Our daily experience is a controlled simulation, corrected by sensory inputs.

02

The Free Energy Principle

Karl Friston's mathematical formulation: all self-organizing systems act to minimize free energy (which translates to minimizing surprise or prediction error) to maintain structural integrity and survive.

03

Precision Weighting & Attention

The brain balances its predictions against raw sensory data through precision weighting. Attention is the adjustment of sensory signal volume (precision), deciding whether to prioritize top-down expectations or bottom-up sensory errors.

Recommended Readings

Surfing UncertaintyAndy Clark

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Knowledge Well & Media

Recommended research papers, debates, and lectures

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